Inhalt

• Abkehr von der reflexartigen Ablehnung
• Tech-Fortschritt und Bewertungsherausforderungen

Howard Marks, der prominenteste Notfallspezialist und Mitbegründer der Oaktree Capital Group, erwähnt in seinem neuesten Memo an seine Kunden, dass seine Familie nun eine „bedeutsame Menge“ an Bitcoin sowie anderen Kryptowährungen besitzt.

Dies ist das Werk seines Sohnes, Andrew Marks, der der neumodischen Anlageklasse „ziemlich positiv“ gegenübersteht.

Abkehr von reflexartiger Ablehnung

In der Vergangenheit hat Marks eine harsche Skepsis gegenüber Bitcoin geäußert und behauptet, dass dieser auf lange Sicht keine Substanz haben würde:

„Auf lange Sicht wird sich zeigen, dass er keine Substanz hat.“

Er erklärte dann, dass die Leute nur in Bitcoin einsteigen, weil sie erwarten, dass die Zahlen nach oben gehen, nicht wegen der intrinsischen Vorteile der Kryptowährung:

„Nicht, weil sie die intrinsischen Vorteile angeben können. Nicht weil sie den intrinsischen Wert beurteilen können. Sondern nur, weil sie glauben, dass er ansteigt.“

Der Milliardär schreibt, dass es für Value-Investoren natürlich ist, zweifelhaft zu sein, da es die Wahrscheinlichkeit von Verlusten reduziert, aber er räumt ein, dass sich seine Skepsis gegenüber Bitcoin „bis heute nicht bewahrheitet hat.“ Dennoch warnt er, dass die Geschichte „noch lange nicht zu Ende geschrieben“ ist.

Bitcoin stieg am 8. Januar auf ein neues Allzeithoch von $42.000, bevor es am 11. Januar in seinem schlimmsten Absturz seit März 2020 bis auf $30.246 zurückging.

In seinem Memo empfahl Marks den Investoren, den schnellen technologischen Fortschritt bei ihren Entscheidungen zu berücksichtigen:

„Die grundlegenden Gleichungen der Finanzwelt wurden nicht dafür gebaut, mit hohem zweistelligem Wachstum umzugehen, soweit das Auge reicht, was die Bewertung von schnell wachsenden Unternehmen zu einer komplizierten Angelegenheit macht.“

Er verweist auf den S&P 500-Index, der immer wieder neue Allzeithochs druckt, nachdem er im letzten Monat den Überflieger Tesla aufgenommen hat.

„Wie Andrew mich immer wieder daran erinnert, ist es schwer, überzeugend zu argumentieren, dass der heutige Markt zu hoch bewertet ist, wenn man nicht erklären kann, warum die führenden Tech-Unternehmen überbewertet sind.“

Według danych CoinShares opublikowanych przez międzynarodową agencję informacyjną Reuters, w ciągu ostatnich kilku tygodni do produktów inwestycyjnych skoncentrowanych na Bitcoinach napłynęło 1,4 miliarda dolarów z instytucjonalnych pieniędzy.

Dla kontrastu, w tym samym czasie, kiedy inwestorzy wydają się być coraz bardziej zainteresowani cyfrową iteracją żółtego metalu, do złota napłynęło 9,2 miliarda dolarów.

Drugi najlepszy tydzień w historii funduszy kryptońskich

Ogólnie rzecz biorąc, CoinShares donosi, że fundusze kryptokurwalutowe zdołały zebrać 429 milionów dolarów od instytucji w zeszłym tygodniu, kiedy to 1 grudnia Bitcoin wspiął się na nowy, wszechobecny szczyt 19.918 dolarów.

W międzyczasie całkowita wartość aktywów cyfrowych zarządzanych przez firmy kryptograficzne gwałtownie wzrosła do oszałamiającego poziomu 15 mld dolarów.

Według aktualizacji z 7 grudnia, same tylko Grayscale Investments mają wartość 12,7 mld dolarów AUM.

Strateg inwestycyjny CoinShares James Butterfill twierdzi, że Bitcoin nie jest już odrzucany jako gra czysto spekulacyjna:
Na poziomie anegdotycznym, na podstawie rozmów z naszymi klientami w ciągu 2020 roku, widzieliśmy zdecydowane przejście od pytań o charakterze spekulacyjnym do tych, które zaczynają się od komentarzy, takich jak: „Bitcoin jest tutaj, aby pozostać, proszę pomóc nam to zrozumieć.

Przepraszam, SEC, Bitcoin ETF już tu jest.

W innych wiadomościach firma Business Intelligence MicroStrategy przekształca się w faktyczny Bitcoin ETF, nawet jeśli SEC nadal kopie puszkę w dół drogi. Wczoraj firma ogłosiła plan przeprowadzenia oferty na 400 mln USD zamiennych dłużnych papierów wartościowych i wykorzystania uzyskanych w ten sposób środków na zwiększenie rezerw kryptokurwalutowych.

Po nabyciu dodatkowych 50 milionów dolarów Bitcoina w zeszłym tygodniu, MicroStrategy posiada obecnie 40.824 BTC (czyli 784 miliony dolarów w momencie pisania).

Ethereum has seen lackluster price action in the past few days as Bitcoin leads the crypto market into a consolidation phase.

ETH will likely continue to move sideways until BTC finds a clear direction

The critical level for ETH seems to be around $ 600 right now, as the selling pressure here has proven to be significant in the past.

Any break above this level was short-lived and followed by strong rejection.

It is therefore imperative that Ethereum make a swift and decisive breakthrough above this level in the coming days.
A trader believes a rebound is imminent as he is now looking at $ 780 as a short term upturn target.

Ethereum and the entire cryptocurrency market have been hit by an intense consolidation surge in the past few days.

It did so amid Bitcoin’s efforts to hit new all-time highs – despite the fact that the asset has been hovering just below it for a good week.

ETH’s price action was strikingly similar to Bitcoin’s, but what happens in the near future will largely depend on the reaction to the $ 600 mark.

One trader believes that a break above this level could be imminent – followed by a parabolic rise that will take ETH towards $ 800.

Ethereum is struggling for momentum amid consolidation

Ethereum is currently listed (buy now? Click here for instructions) at a price of $ 597. For the past few days, ETH has stayed below $ 600, with any break above that level being temporary.

This price action did little to provide investors with insight into Ethereum’s medium-term outlook. And until Bitcoin can hit new all-time highs above $ 19,800, there is a good chance the entire market will remain relatively calm.

Trader sees ETH move towards $ 800

A trader wrote in a tweet that a move towards $ 800 is possible in the near future: over $ 700 and specifically even $ 780.

He suggests that $ 620, which has not yet been broken firmly, is the key level that could trigger this move higher.

“Another good week that ETH is close to the upward trend. The $ 620 is still the area above which price has to break to the upside if ETH can break that level – it can really fly. With next goals over $ 700 and $ 780 a week. “

In the medium term, the entire market development depends on Bitcoin, although this bullish Ethereum rally will probably only come into play when BTC sets new highs.

In July an unpleasant incident occurred with Ledger, one of the most popular manufacturers of hardware crypto wallets. The company’s databases were hacked and, as a result, information from many customers fell into bad hands. A little later, it became known that Ledger management refused to pay compensation to those whose data had been merged. Alas, there are already consequences of the leak of personal data.

A few months ago, we warned that such an event was unlikely to go away without a trace for many. More recently, our fears have been confirmed – many of our customers have started complaining about increased phishing attacks. Moreover, some of them were indeed victims of hackers – they managed to steal a total of 1.15 million XRP.

It should be noted that in most cases such situations end badly for the owners of cryptographic software. If the scammers know how to work with all kinds of mixers that cover the cryptovoltaic traces, they are likely to fail.

Risks of loss on cryptov currencies

A phishing attack is an attempt to force a user to give their important information to hackers in the form of logins, passwords or private keys, which will then be used by attackers to withdraw their funds. In this case, Ledger users were sent e-mails with a link to the company’s fake website.

The address of the fairy page had dotted letters, i.e. it was very similar to the original address of the real Ledger website. After following the link, the user was strongly advised to download malware under the guise of a security update for Ledger wallets. Using the virus, the attackers managed to steal 1.1 million XRP, reports Cointelegraph. At today’s rate it is about 288 thousand dollars.

The coins received were sent to the Bittrex exchange. Unfortunately, the platform was unable to take appropriate measures in time and block funds from hacker accounts. In other words, it was not possible to stop the criminals.

In a similar attack, victims were sent a phishing email allegedly from an official Team Crypto Bull account. In it, the phishers approached Ledger users, offering XRP distribution to „white list addresses“ as part of a „community support programme“. The process of registering for the „programme“ includes the transfer of a side-phrase from a Ledger wallet. With this combination in hand, hackers can easily withdraw all user funds.

That is, in this case, users were attracted by the opportunity to receive tokens in honour of an event. It should be noted that in such cases, greed usually outweighs rationality, which is why the owners of the cryptographic coins part with them – and usually forever.

This is interesting: the manufacturer of crypt currency hardware wallets Ledger has passed a security audit. What does it give you?

It should be noted that the phishing attack tactics have been used against cryptovalue users for a long time. In some cases hackers manage to steal simply unthinkable amounts. Let us remind you that a couple of months ago, a cryptoentusist under the nickname 1400BitcoinStolen told us about how he had his 1400 BTC stolen through a malicious version of his Electrum wallet. Today, the equivalent of $21.68 million can be obtained for this amount.

And although such schemes are really popular and successful, it is quite easy to fight them. All you have to remember is that real company representatives will not contact you by mail to ask for a software update. Even if there is a bug, it will be written about it in official Twitter-type communication channels. So if someone shares a link in the letter, the latter simply needs to be removed and not clicked on the content.

The same is true for secret phrases along with private keys. This information is for cryptographic owners only, so disclosure will essentially put an end to savings. We believe that, over time, the literacy of coin holders will increase, which will cause the income of fraudsters to fall. However, because of the constant influx of newcomers to the industry, it is unlikely that hackers will ever be left without money. That’s why it’s only left to warn friends and family.

Don’t be a victim – when working with cryptocurrencies, never click on suspicious links or download suspicious files. Remember, your passwords and private keys are the only proof of ownership of digital assets. Look for even more interesting things in our millionaire crypto.

The Bitcoin in 2020 is aligned with its positions of 2016 and 2012, show the data, as the performance in six months more than doubled.

The price of Bitcoin has more than doubled since the last halving and is now almost beating its last maximum.

The data compiled by the ChartsBTC on-chain monitoring feature on November 23 shows that, compared to halvings, Bitcoin Code in 2020 is on track to deliver big price gains.

Bitcoin price doubles since halving, with only 3.4 million Bitcoin left for buyers

Bitcoin has gone up 120% since May

Using figures from Coin Metrics and Clark Moody statistician, ChartsBTC’s Halving Index compares Bitcoin progress since the 2012 and 2016 halvings.

The results show that, in terms of price action, Bitcoin is beating its run to the 2017 record high of $20,000. Only 2012 produced a faster rise, at a time when, at the time of halving, BTC/USD was trading at only $12.

Six months after halving, the price of Bitcoin is 2.2 times higher in 2020. In 2016, the high represented 1.3 times the price during the event, while 2012 produced a high of 12 times in the same period.
Bitcoin Halving Index Chart.

A new force

The data reinforce the argument that Bitcoin in 2020 has little in common with three years ago. Traders have changed and now take the form of corporate giants, satisfying customer demand and investing in the long term, not for speculation.

For PlanB analyst, responsible for Bitcoin stock-to-flow pricing models, this is very clear in the form of a catalyst for additional price gains.

As the Cointelegraph published on Monday, he believes that January 2021 could mark the beginning of a much faster valuation cycle, which would also follow performance after previous halvings.

„Monday! Paypal, Grayscale and Square will resume shopping today,“ he reflected on the habits of the latest high-volume Bitcoin traders.

Last week, meanwhile, a comparative chart of Bitcoin’s „halving candles“ highlighted 2020, showing that the potential remains strong before the current halving cycle ends in 2024.

Bitcoin mining revenue reaches pre-halving levels

Bitcoin halving candles.

Only 2.5 million Bitcoins left to be mined

Each candle boosted the BTC/USD at a higher price than the previous halving. In 2024, therefore, halving should produce a price of $100,000 if history repeats itself.